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Nobody knows
I have always assumed that nobody knows, but that has made an a** out of me many times, Nobody might not know, but he often has a good idea.
I was reading the slex blogs and one poster a while back commented that he had gone to HIPIHI used the "T"-word (not Tianamen but Tibet) and found himself bounced. I suppose with a population the size of China's they don't need anyone who might rock the boat, but just the fact that they have virtual world's I think bodes well for the rl planet.
There was a considerable body of opinion that felt circulating videotaped copies of US network news shows helped bring down the old Soviet Union. The net and the metaverse might an analogous with that. Rather than beating the Chinese into democracy with a stick it might be better to slip a knife between the ribs.